Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1395.789847 1593.147612 1813.956694 2080.329005 2394.293887 2754.209032 3200.350445
2025-08-24 1098.957117 1356.681629 1673.393336 2095.474960 2649.649644 3361.457502 4359.629171
2025-08-31 939.325499 1219.389630 1585.166318 2106.091111 2842.461978 3867.192177 5439.242557
2025-09-07 837.492713 1131.919731 1535.891799 2143.600495 3057.736535 4420.628300 6684.096325
2025-09-14 731.084895 1019.734433 1431.464158 2078.576579 3102.439888 4718.605899 7589.282312
2025-09-21 647.989026 928.548246 1342.359123 2018.087915 3136.123850 4993.882287 8503.395867
2025-09-28 577.843120 847.542640 1257.063528 1948.607466 3139.190093 5211.147631 9352.978343
2025-10-05 549.637339 826.596453 1260.548472 2020.695571 3388.135855 5894.518778 11238.842079
2025-10-12 517.386998 795.371148 1243.161621 2053.606384 3570.483374 6485.970129 13088.621891
2025-10-19 488.049639 765.574520 1224.214673 2079.995957 3742.765614 7087.104464 15118.380699
2025-10-26 461.446655 737.530153 1204.802343 2102.053465 3908.475493 7704.051815 17357.849989
2025-11-02 445.206491 725.352498 1211.278158 2172.532329 4181.308205 8602.655378 20568.876009
2025-11-09 423.643094 702.948458 1198.928047 2208.675936 4396.964946 9439.741170 23969.494056
2025-11-16 401.049959 676.854553 1177.469983 2224.598156 4573.758033 10232.040713 27567.944768
2025-11-23 380.218782 651.971263 1155.492193 2236.020007 4741.613773 11040.697265 31544.538158
2025-11-30 364.686822 635.457907 1147.752841 2276.287442 4984.114871 12103.330408 36820.763629
2025-12-07 338.590844 596.832899 1092.841778 2206.484924 4946.257846 12392.313157 39531.393002
2025-12-14 315.446319 562.129338 1042.749412 2141.576442 4910.551315 12681.528649 42389.159536
2025-12-21 293.404179 527.999861 990.992124 2067.050472 4838.673184 12850.417286 44873.077332
2025-12-28 287.479439 525.171761 1003.658659 2144.374118 5184.658735 14392.498023 53922.051400
2026-01-04 278.083428 514.626247 999.022853 2179.687156 5422.364249 15659.269379 62552.603415
2026-01-11 268.714071 503.412789 991.905998 2208.008302 5646.021181 16947.471380 72163.226070
2026-01-18 259.584821 492.014631 983.355951 2231.683911 5861.151527 18274.552370 82957.088966